With a knowledge of the tools, any dedicated student can perform expert Elliott Wave analysis. People who neglect to study the subject thoroughly or to apply the tools rigorously have given up before really trying. The best learning procedure is to keep an hourly chart and try to fit all the wiggles into Elliott Wave patterns, while keeping an open mind for all the possibilities. Slowly the scales should drop from your eyes, and you will continually be amazed at what you see.
It is important to remember that while investment tactics always must go with the most valid wave count, knowledge of alternative possibilities can be extremely helpful in adjusting to unexpected events, putting them immediately into perspective, and adapting to the changing market framework. While the rigidities of the rules of wave formation are of great value in choosing entry and exit points, the flexibilities in the admissible patterns eliminate cries that whatever the market is doing now is "impossible."
When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. Thus eloquently spoke Sherlock Holmes to his constant companion, Dr. Watson, in Arthur Conan Doyle's The Sign of Four. This one sentence is a capsule summary of what one needs to know to be successful with Elliott. The best approach is deductive reasoning. By knowing what Elliott rules will not allow, one can deduce that whatever remains must be the most likely course for the market. Applying all the rules of extensions, alternation, overlapping, channeling, volume and the rest, the analyst has a much more formidable arsenal than one might imagine at first glance. Unfortunately for many, the approach requires thought and work and rarely provides a mechanical signal. However, this kind of thinking, basically an elimination process, squeezes the best out of what Elliott has to offer and besides, it's fun!
Observações e previsões
Hoje é um daqueles dias em que as forças cósmicas bolsistas se conjugam em alinhamentos e eclipses. Serão completados 4 períodos de tempo Fibonacci. A saber:
a) uma série de 3
b) uma série de 13
c) uma série de 34
d) uma série de 55
Sucintamente, espero um dia de elevada volatilidade (podendo ser feitos nesta sessão máximos e mínimos relativos). Se a sessão terminar positiva (e em máximos — não me admiraria se fossem tocados os 9000!)... para a semana teremos fortes quedas. Curiosamente, caso a sessão termine com vela negativa (...e quanto mais perto dos 8600 melhor!) o cenário para a próxima semana torna-se (ainda!) mais risonho para os touros!
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